Sukhoi Su-57: Russia’s “Golden Deal” to India – Will IAF Buy It?

Sukhoi Su-57: Russia’s “Golden Deal” to India – Will IAF Buy It?
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Introduction

India’s air defense strategy is at a critical juncture, with stealth fighter threats growing from China and Pakistan. The recent arrival of Russia’s Su-57E stealth fighter at Aero India 2025 signals a renewed push by Moscow to sell its cutting-edge fighter to New Delhi.

With a history of defense collaboration, India and Russia once planned to co-develop the Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft (FGFA) but abandoned the project in 2018. Now, with improved capabilities and an attractive joint production offer, will India reconsider the Su-57E?

Su-57E at Aero India 2025 – Russia’s Renewed Pitch

On February 6, 2025, Russia’s Su-57E landed at Yelahanka Air Base in Bengaluru for Aero India 2025, making India the second country (after China) where Russia is showcasing the aircraft.

Key highlights:

  • Honored Test Pilot Sergey Bogdan will perform demonstration flights.
  • Visitors can experience the Su-57E VR simulator.
  • Russia’s Rosoboronexport is actively engaging with Indian defense officials.

Why India Needs a Stealth Fighter Now More Than Ever

India’s adversaries are rapidly strengthening their stealth capabilities:

  • China’s PLAAF already fields over 200 Chengdu J-20 stealth fighters and plans to deploy 300+ by 2030.
  • Pakistan Air Force (PAF) aims to acquire Shenyang J-31 stealth fighters from China.
  • Pakistan and Turkey are jointly working on the KAAN stealth fighter.

With increasing stealth threats on both northern and western borders, the Indian Air Force (IAF) faces a severe capability gap in next-generation air combat.

A Look Back – India’s FGFA Program with Russia

India and Russia signed a preliminary agreement in 2007 to jointly develop the FGFA based on Russia’s Su-57 (then T-50 prototype).

Why India Suspended FGFA in 2018

  • Disagreements over cost-sharing and technology transfer.
  • IAF concerns about the aircraft’s stealth capabilities.
  • Reports that the Su-57 lacked all-aspect stealth and supercruise capability with its older AL-41F1 engine.

Despite backing out, India left the door open for future acquisition, stating it might revisit the Su-57E if required.

Su-57’s Key Upgrades Since India’s Withdrawal

Since 2018, Russia has made significant improvements to the Su-57, addressing many concerns raised by India.

1. New AL-51 Stage-2 Engines

  • Supercruise at Mach 1.6-2.0 (without afterburners).
  • 11-ton dry thrust (compared to 9 tons in AL-41F1).
  • Reduced infrared (IR) signature for better stealth.

2. Enhanced Stealth Capabilities

  • Serrated exhaust nozzle reduces radar & IR visibility.
  • Internal weapons bay integration minimizes radar cross-section (RCS).

3. Combat-Proven Performance

  • Tested in Syria for combat effectiveness.
  • Used in Ukraine for electronic warfare and strike missions.

4. Development of a Twin-Seat Variant

  • Beneficial for pilot training and AI-assisted operations.
  • Could be leveraged for IAF’s future UAV & “Loyal Wingman” programs.

The “Golden Deal” – Russia’s Proposal to India

Russia is offering a lucrative package to India to bridge its stealth fighter gap:

  1. Direct Acquisition – Ready-to-fly Su-57E units for IAF.
  2. Joint Production in India – Boosts “Make in India” & reduces costs.
  3. Technology Transfer – Could support India’s AMCA stealth fighter project.

How Su-57E Compares to Global Stealth Fighters

FeatureSu-57EF-35 (USA)J-20 (China)J-31 (China)
SupercruiseYes (Mach 1.6-2.0)NoNoNo
Radar Cross Section (RCS)Low (0.1-0.3m²)Very Low (0.005m²)Low (0.1-0.5m²)Low
ManeuverabilityHigh (3D thrust vectoring)ModerateModerateModerate
Weapon BaysInternal + ExternalInternal OnlyInternal + ExternalInternal
  • F-35 is stealthier but lacks maneuverability and supercruise.
  • Su-57 has better maneuverability and speed but a slightly larger radar cross-section.
  • J-20 & J-31 lag in supercruise and agility, making them less lethal in dogfights.

Challenges & Concerns for India

Despite its advantages, acquiring the Su-57E poses challenges:

  • High Costs – Estimated $100-120 million per unit.
  • Maintenance & Spares – India already faces delays in Russian spares for Su-30MKI.
  • Compatibility Issues – Integration with India’s existing fleet and future AMCA.

India’s Alternatives: Should It Wait for AMCA?

India’s Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA) is expected to fly by 2032-2035. However, delays are likely due to:

  • Lack of 5th-gen engine technology.
  • Need for advanced radar and stealth coatings.

Interim Solution?

A limited Su-57E acquisition could provide IAF an operational edge until AMCA is fully ready.

Geopolitical Implications of Buying the Su-57E

  • Strengthens India-Russia ties amid Western arms supply limitations.
  • Possible U.S. Sanctions under CAATSA (Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act).
  • China’s Reaction – May push Beijing to further expand its J-20 fleet.

Conclusion: Should India “Bite the Bullet” on Su-57E?

India faces a critical decision in its air combat strategy.

  • Pros: The Su-57E is an advanced, battle-proven fighter with joint production potential.
  • Cons: High costs, logistical concerns, and possible U.S. backlash.

With stealth threats from China and Pakistan rising rapidly, India must act decisively to maintain air superiority.


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